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Is the Next Global Superpower on the Horizon? | In Brief | GZERO Media

**Title: The Next Global Superpower: Understanding the Changing Geopolitical Landscape | Ian Bremmer’s Quick Take**

**Description:**
In his newly released Ted Talk, Ian Bremmer explores the concept of global superpowers and the evolving geopolitical landscape. Join him as he discusses what happens after the GZERO, who the next global superpower might be, and why traditional powers like the US and China no longer hold that status. Bremmer uncovers the complex dynamics of the current global order, highlighting the unsettling levels of conflict and instability. Discover how security, economics, and the digital realm each play a role in shaping the future of international relations, leading to seismic shifts and potential tsunamis in the world of geopolitics.

Read the full transcript of Ian Bremmer’s insightful talk [here](https://www.gzeromedia.com/quick-take/the-next-global-superpower).

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There are no more global superpowers, says Ian Bremmer in his newly released Ted Talk.

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Ian Bremmer’s Quick Take:

Hi everybody. Ian Bremmer here. A Quick Take for you and my Ted Talk has just landed. So yes, that is what I want to talk about. Kind of, what happens after the GZERO? Who is the next global superpower? Do the Americans come back? Is it the Chinese century? No, it’s none of the above. We don’t have superpowers anymore. And that’s what the talk is all about.

I think that the geopolitical landscape today unnerves people because there’s so much conflict, there’s so much instability. People see that the trajectory of US-China relations, of war in Europe, of the state of democracy and globalization, all is heading in ways that seem both negative and unsustainable. And part of the reason for that is because it is not geopolitics as usual. It’s not the Soviets or the Americans or the Chinese that are driving outcomes in the geopolitical space. Rather it is breaking up into different global orders depending on the type of power we’re talking about.

There’s a security order of course, and people that think that international institutions and governance doesn’t work anymore, aren’t focusing on hard security cause NATO is expanding, and getting stronger, and involving not just the Nordics, but also the Japanese, and the South Koreans, and the Australians. The Americans are building out the Quad and they’re building out AUKUS, in part because of growing consensus on Russia among the advanced industrial democracies, growing concerns about China. But then also you have at the same time that the US-led national security institutions are getting stronger, the global economic architecture is fragmenting and it’s becoming more competitive. And the Europeans are driving some rules, and the Chinese are driving others, and the Americans are driving others. No one’s really happy about that, and it’s becoming less efficient, and that’s because it’s a multilateral economic order at the same time as it’s a unilateral unipolar security order.

And those are two things that we kind of feel right now, and it’s not super comfortable. It’s not super stable. The pieces move and they rub up against each other. The Americans trying to have more dominance in certain areas of the economy. When you can make it about national security, like if you talk about critical minerals and transition energy economies or semiconductors, for example, you see all that investment moving away from Taiwan and towards the US, the Netherlands, Japan, other countries. And you can see other areas where the Chinese have more influence in commercial ties and are getting more diplomacy oriented towards them in the Global South, for example, in the BRICS, and now France saying they want to go to BRICS meeting and that’s not about national security, that’s about economic integration. So these things, they’re like tectonic plates and they don’t align comfortably. And when they don’t and when they move, sometimes you get an earthquake, sometimes you get a tsunami.

Read the full transcript: https://www.gzeromedia.com/quick-take/the-next-global-superpower

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30 Comments

  1. "Global" is moving to "Multi Polarity".
    We need new Institutions to provide an Interface between new Network Segments.
    Big Tech on both Networks will be needed to create such an Interface; New Laws, Banking and Military Institutions.
    I don't expect Single Standards such as US Commercial Code now in use Globally to be applied Globally much longer.
    A great deal of work is needed to provide interoperability between Multi Polar Entities with different Systems.
    I agree with Mr. Bremmer, there is a great deal of Opportunity ahead.
    Excellent Analysis Mr. Bremmer. You are Identifying and Parsing important Elements.

  2. Disruptive technologies can affect society, but I am going to say that there is a "hype" that tech companies are using to increase their value. Western society needs to integrate benign regulation to avoid the proliferation of harmful material. That regulation can only happen if people want it in a representative democracy. China and Russia will never become major powers because they thrive on oppression. Once we unplug from Russia's energy supply, they will have no leverage. China knows that they have been the world's source of cheap labor, but that is coming to an end with neighboring Asian countries looking to get a piece of the pie as well. I sense some level of "alarmism" in your opinion, Ian. I do respect it, but at the end of the day, I don't think the paradigm shift would be as serious as many people think. If anything, the only one in danger is mother earth.

  3. America is still Global superpower they control social media, they support anti government around the world, they control the media in many country, they start war with anyone they can benefit , they cretaed conflect wirhin America so, people don't have time to think about failure of goverment and they lies to they own people. America goverment run by the bank and only the bank want is profit so, if they see any country doing well they will try to bring them down and benefit from it that why most of the country around the world hate us including Eupopean country. American government only good at war and nothing else. American government onlt created conflect unluke China they invest together. American only use force not brain because most politicians have none.

  4. What you say about algorithms I totally agree but let's face it it's not just social media but all media. Fox News is a great example. Their business model to go after a certain demographic and make a cult fallowing of them by telling them what they want to hear (even if they have to make it up) and telling their viewers those who tell them otherwise hate them, hate America, and are them whatever facts they present are phony or created by the "deep state". Then there is Alex Jones on radio and his like doing the same thing and other such groups on the internet funded by billionaires who think only about acquiring more money, paying less taxes, and getting more power. In other words algorithms are only one way the powerful have been using data but they are definitely not the only way. Don't forget this is the goal of marketing in general. The TV's goal, in general, and its programming (not just political programing like Fox) is to make people addicted which they have done very successfully since the beginning.

  5. China is no longer growing. They are a dying nation. Companies are pulling out. Xi is a dictator and the country is dysfunctional. Example: the spy balloon. The dumbest thing a govt has done in decades. Think about how something like that happens.

  6. Saudi and Iran will work together to stop American interference at least in Middle East. It is the nowadays biggest geopolitical event ever after over thousand years these two Muslim community’s fighting. Why does Ian deliberately ignore it???

  7. A few ideas about AI. I think humans will be consumed by it. We are already hopelessly addicted to a destructive and farcical social media presence. We have a strong tendency to treat inanimate objects as living things. Everybody knows that when you wash and polish your car, it is happy and it runs better. Anybody who has been close to a throbbing steam locomotive Knows that it is alive. When I ride my motorcycle, it's easy for me to imagine that it has a soul. The pulse of the engine, the response to my every input. Does it have a soul? No, but I treat it and care for it like it does. As we separate ourselves more and more from the natural world, artificial and digital companions will be preferable to aggravating, human companions. Cheers

  8. The world is changing rapidly. The US is in panic mode for fear of losing its world domination. We are in the transition period from an unipolar world to a multipolar world and this transition time is going to be the most dangerous for everyone. The United States has a tendency and means to use violence to achieve its goals. The US won't go down without putting up a big fight. The US would go to war with China and Russia, and drag the world down with it.

  9. It could be said simpler.
    Russia is about to crash because a sufficient number of democracies has found out that the economical benefits of trading with Russia wasn't worth the security threats including energy instability.
    China is about to crash because the economics were fake, the demography is a catastrophy and threatening invasion of Taiwan makes the whole world uneasy after Ukraine. The decoupling will leave China starving.
    The US has only one democratic party and should the fascist party win instead, we are in a Nazi situation.
    Europe is doing quite well despite Germany/Holland were tied to russian fossil fuel. The main problem is the difficulty to expel fascist Hungary from the EU and the Turkish dictatorship from NATO.
    Cheers!

  10. 👏👏👏 … ✊

    I think AI used in education can and should be highly effective and beneficiary to children and teenagers as much as they (algorithms) have been shown to be detrimental, anxiety producers. I believe the AI ought to be designed within its Architecture, to be strict and demanding toward progress and achievements rather than towards "Influencer-Creation." "Parents, educators and teachers need help"… so create and enable The AI that can be a third pillar for educational support. If GOP can refrain from hijacking the development system… I believe that should be an important objective for long lasting youth enhancement and development.

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